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Wednesday, January 8, 2025

HDFC Securities cuts Swiggy rating to ‘reduce,’ raises target price to INR 470

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Brokerage firm HDFC Securities has downgraded Swiggy to ‘reduce’ from ‘add’, but has increased its target price to INR 470 per share from INR 430 apiece earlier.

Swiggy stocks sees 9.2% drop

This implies a downside of 9.2% from the stock’s previous close. Shares of Swiggy ended Wednesday’s trading session at INR 518.10 apiece on the BSE.

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Despite the downgrade, Swiggy’s stock continued its upward swing in Thursday’s intraday trading session and rallied over 11% to INR 576.95 on the BSE. Analysts at HDFC Securities noted that while Swiggy’s key performance indicators are improving in food delivery and quick commerce segments, it still lags behind Zomato.

However, Swiggy reported a 4.8% quarter-on-quarter rise in monthly transacting users in the food delivery segment in Q2 FY25, while gross order value grew 5.6% QoQ to INR 7,190 Cr. However, HDFC Securities said that Swiggy still underperformed Zomato across KPIs in the food delivery segment in H1 FY25. While Swiggy reported a GOV growth of 14% in the food delivery segment in H1, Zomato’s GOV jumped 24%.

Further, Swiggy’s quick commerce arm Instamart continues to lag its Zomato counterpart Blinkit in terms of both growth and unit economics. “While step up in customer acquisition is encouraging, current market price now suggests that the path to convergence in quick commerce with Blinkit is a foregone conclusion,” the brokerage said.

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Swiggy’s loss widens by 2%

HDFC Securities’ downgrade on Swiggy comes after the company widened its net loss sequentially by over 2% to INR 625 Cr in Q2 FY25, while its operating revenue rose 12% QoQ to INR 3,601.45 Cr. In its Q2 FY25 investor presentation, Swiggy said that it was eyeing an adjusted EBITDA profitability on a consolidated level by Q3 FY26.

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